Magazine Says Pa. Governor Race Is “Likely Democratic”

Less than two months to the election, and Tom Wolf’s defeat of Tom Corbett is increasingly looking like a sure thing.

PoliticsPA points to Governing magazine, which every year offers election forecasts. The magazine has changed its forecast of the Pennsylvania governor’s race from “leaning Democratic” to “likely Democratic,” and seems likely to be the only Republican-held governorship to change hands this year.

“This race only continues to slip away from Corbett — not least because businessman and former state revenue commissioner Tom Wolf easily won the Democratic primary and has kept building his lead over Corbett,” writes Louis Jacobson.

Jacobson mentions the recent RMU poll as a factor in their decision but also points out the more serious underlying issues affecting the Governor’s effort at re-election.

“Subsequent polls showed a narrower gap, but it will be hard for Corbett to fundamentally reinvent himself at this late date; he and his record are simply too well known,” he writes. It didn’t help that the GOP-controlled Legislature didn’t go out of its way to push along his agenda.”

The election is November 4th.