Cecily Tynan Strikes First In Philadelphia Long Range Winter Forecast Wars

But she's still not wearing long sleeves.

POLL UPDATE: Cecily Tynan has been defeated by former FOX 29 personality Rob Guarino in our poll, but Guarino’s agent doesn’t want you to know that.

Original:

On Thursday night, 6 ABC meteorologist Cecily Tynan unleashed her long range winter forecast for Philadelphia, continuing the ridiculous November tradition of TV weather people giving us their best guesses for how much snow we’ll be getting in February.

In case you don’t feel like watching the whole thing, there wasn’t exactly anything earth-shattering to tell. Though there were some end-of-the-world style special effects and chatter about a “sudden stratospheric warming” and “a possible Arctic outbreak,” basically the Philadelphia long range winter forecast boils down to: a) yes, it is going to snow and b) it is probably not going to snow that much.

Tynan predicts “a very changeable pattern” and “numerous mixed precipitation events,” which sound a whole lot like weather business as usual in Philadelphia. As for specific snowfall amounts, here’s what she says to expect:

Philadelphia area: 12 to 18 inches
Lehigh Valley: 22 to 28 inches
Jersey Shore: 6 to 12 inches

As Tynan notes, those amounts are below average but a lot more than what we saw here over the last two winters, which Tynan describes as “virtual snow droughts.”

But does Tynan know what she’s talking about? Do any of Philadelphia’s meteorologists? Take the poll below.