Who Is Winning The Presidential Race? Depends Which Poll You Pick.


Democrats felt pretty good about the shape of the presidential race following Joe Biden’s performance against Paul Ryan at last weekend’s vice-presidential debate. But did he actually help President Obama’s campaign regain its footing? A slew of new polls taken over the weekend show the race is still plenty tight. Politico’s new poll shows Obama up by a single point over Mitt Romney nationally, while the new survey from the Washington Post and ABC News gives the president a three-point lead. (Conservatives say the latter poll is skewed.)  At the New York Times, polling guru Nate Silver says state-by-state polls appear to give Obama a small Electoral College lead, but national polls show Romney tied or ahead of the president. “There have been plenty of elections before when the outcome was highly uncertain down the stretch run or on Election Day itself. But I am not sure that there has been one where different types of polls pointed in opposite directions,” Silver writes. “Anyone in my business who is not a bit terrified by this set of facts is either lying to himself — or he doesn’t know what he’s doing.” Obama and Romney debate again Tuesday night. Will it bring clarity to the race? [Five Thirty Eight]